2015 Season results for Los Alamos (GV,2-5A)

19   6   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1191     77
Strength     Momentum
992   57.6(18)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   5L   2T 
District  6W   0L   0T 
Expected  17:   2+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/22/15 Farmington 0.0021352L 1- 3 Expected (-1)1156 33%
08/25/15 at Bosque 0.0031089T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1156 60%
08/27/15 Moriarty 0.001702W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1450 97%
09/01/15 St. Pius ?? 0.0101282L 0- 2 Expected (-1)1121 42%
09/10/15 at Hope Christian 0.0311348L 0- 5 Expected (-3)1033 26%
09/11/15 Mayfield 0.0521123W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1241 63%
09/12/15 at Carlsbad 0.0591178W 1- 0 Better (+1)1251 48%
09/15/15 Albuquerque Academy ? 0.0781330L 0- 2 Expected (-1)1144 36%
09/17/15 at Rio Rancho 0.1111461L 0- 2 Expected (+1)1242 15%
09/22/15 at Capital ! 0.098947W 5- 0 Expected (+3)1337 77%
09/26/15 Taos 0.257952W 3- 0 Expected (0)1206 83%
09/29/15 Robertson 0.195717W 6- 0 Expected (+1)1242 97%
10/02/15 Highland 0.243830W 6- 0 Expected (+2)1299 91%
10/03/15 at Bernalillo 0.372836W 3- 0 Expected (0)1180 88%
10/06/15 at Del Norte 0.448823W 3- 0 Expected (0)1174 89%
10/10/15 Capital !! 0.383947W 6- 0 Expected (+3)1357 84%
10/17/15 Piedra Vista 0.8151031W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1246 75%
10/21/15 Bernalillo 0.944836W 2- 0 Expected (-2)1098 92%
10/22/15 at St. Michael's 0.9851182T 2- 2 Better (0)1203 47%
10/24/15 Del Norte 0.138823W 11- 1 Expected (+6)1511 93%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Alamos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 992, while
Los Alamos's "weighted playing strength" is 1214
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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