19 6 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1191 77 Strength Momentum |
992 57.6(18) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | Farmington | 0.002 | 1352 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1156 | 33% | |
08/25/15 | at Bosque | 0.003 | 1089 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1156 | 60% | |
08/27/15 | Moriarty | 0.001 | 702 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1450 | 97% | |
09/01/15 | St. Pius ?? | 0.010 | 1282 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1121 | 42% | |
09/10/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.031 | 1348 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1033 | 26% | |
09/11/15 | Mayfield | 0.052 | 1123 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1241 | 63% | |
09/12/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.059 | 1178 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1251 | 48% | |
09/15/15 | Albuquerque Academy ? | 0.078 | 1330 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1144 | 36% | |
09/17/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.111 | 1461 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1242 | 15% | |
09/22/15 | at Capital ! | 0.098 | 947 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1337 | 77% | |
09/26/15 | Taos | 0.257 | 952 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1206 | 83% | |
09/29/15 | Robertson | 0.195 | 717 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1242 | 97% | |
10/02/15 | Highland | 0.243 | 830 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1299 | 91% | |
10/03/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.372 | 836 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1180 | 88% | |
10/06/15 | at Del Norte | 0.448 | 823 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1174 | 89% | |
10/10/15 | Capital !! | 0.383 | 947 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1357 | 84% | |
10/17/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.815 | 1031 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1246 | 75% | |
10/21/15 | Bernalillo | 0.944 | 836 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1098 | 92% | |
10/22/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.985 | 1182 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1203 | 47% | |
10/24/15 | Del Norte | 0.138 | 823 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1511 | 93% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Alamos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 992, while
Los Alamos's "weighted playing strength" is 1214
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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